Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/soil-12-165-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/soil-12-165-2026
Original research article
 | 
06 Mar 2026
Original research article |  | 06 Mar 2026

Modelling long-term soil organic carbon sequestration under varying environmental drivers and internal protection mechanisms – towards a digital twin

W. Marijn van der Meij and Peter Finke

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Cited articles

Abramoff, R. Z., Guenet, B., Zhang, H., Georgiou, K., Xu, X., Viscarra Rossel, R. A., Yuan, W., and Ciais, P.: Improved global-scale predictions of soil carbon stocks with Millennial Version 2, Soil Biology and Biochemistry, 164, 108466, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2021.108466, 2022. 
Alvarez, R.: A quantitative review of the effects of residue removing on soil organic carbon in croplands, Soil and Tillage Research, 240, 106098, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2024.106098, 2024. 
Andrén, O. and Kätterer, T.: ICBM: The Introductory Carbon Balance Model for Exploration of Soil Carbon Balances, Ecological Applications, 7, 1226–1236, https://doi.org/10.2307/2641210, 1997. 
Anindita, S., Sleutel, S., and Finke, P. A.: Simulating soil organic carbon stock as affected by land use and climate change on volcanic soils in Indonesia, Geoderma Regional, 34, e00698, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geodrs.2023.e00698, 2023. 
Bauer, P., Stevens, B., and Hazeleger, W.: A digital twin of Earth for the green transition, Nat. Clim. Chang., 11, 80–83, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-00986-y, 2021. 
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Short summary
We used soil evolution model SoilGen to simulate long-term soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration under varying environmental conditions and internal protection mechanisms. Our results revealed a strong role of pedogenetic and environmental history on current-day and future SOC sequestration potential. We propose a framework for developing topical digital twins of long-term soil processes to monitor and project future development of specific soil properties under global change.
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