Articles | Volume 1, issue 1
Original research article
16 Apr 2015
Original research article |  | 16 Apr 2015

Global distribution of soil organic carbon – Part 2: Certainty of changes related to land use and climate

M. Köchy, A. Don, M. K. van der Molen, and A. Freibauer


Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after minor revisions (review by Editor) (02 Dec 2014) by Boris Jansen
AR by Martin Köchy on behalf of the Authors (10 Dec 2014)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (18 Dec 2014) by Boris Jansen
ED: Publish as is (23 Dec 2014) by Kristof Van Oost (Executive editor)
AR by Martin Köchy on behalf of the Authors (09 Jan 2015)
Short summary
Using ranges for variables in a model of organic C stocks of the top 1m of soil on a global 0.5° grid, we assessed the (un)certainty of changes in stocks over the next 75 years. Changes are more certain where land-use change strongly affects carbon inputs and where higher temperatures and adequate moisture favour decomposition, e.g. tropical mountain forests. Global stocks will increase by 1% with a certainty of 75% if inputs to the soil increase due to CO₂ fertilization of the vegetation.