Articles | Volume 1, issue 1
SOIL, 1, 367–380, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/soil-1-367-2015
SOIL, 1, 367–380, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/soil-1-367-2015

Original research article 16 Apr 2015

Original research article | 16 Apr 2015

Global distribution of soil organic carbon – Part 2: Certainty of changes related to land use and climate

M. Köchy et al.

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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after minor revisions (review by Editor) (02 Dec 2014) by Boris Jansen
AR by Martin Köchy on behalf of the Authors (10 Dec 2014)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (18 Dec 2014) by Boris Jansen
ED: Publish as is (23 Dec 2014) by Kristof Van Oost(Executive Editor)
Short summary
Using ranges for variables in a model of organic C stocks of the top 1m of soil on a global 0.5° grid, we assessed the (un)certainty of changes in stocks over the next 75 years. Changes are more certain where land-use change strongly affects carbon inputs and where higher temperatures and adequate moisture favour decomposition, e.g. tropical mountain forests. Global stocks will increase by 1% with a certainty of 75% if inputs to the soil increase due to CO₂ fertilization of the vegetation.