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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">SOIL</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>SOIL</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">SOIL</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">SOIL</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2199-398X</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>

    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/soil-2-443-2016</article-id><title-group><article-title>Morphological dynamics of gully systems in the subhumid Ethiopian
Highlands: the Debre Mawi watershed</article-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Morphological dynamics of gully systems}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{A. D. Zegeye et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1 aff2">
          <name><surname>Zegeye</surname><given-names>Assefa D.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff3">
          <name><surname>Langendoen</surname><given-names>Eddy J.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2215-4989</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4">
          <name><surname>Stoof</surname><given-names>Cathelijne R.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff5">
          <name><surname>Tilahun</surname><given-names>Seifu A.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff5">
          <name><surname>Dagnew</surname><given-names>Dessalegn C.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff5">
          <name><surname>Zimale</surname><given-names>Fasikaw A.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Guzman</surname><given-names>Christian D.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Yitaferu</surname><given-names>Birru</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1 aff5">
          <name><surname>Steenhuis</surname><given-names>Tammo S.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0508-9350</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Department of Biological and Environmental Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Amhara Region Agricultural Research Institute, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>US Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service, National Sedimentation Laboratory, Oxford, MS 38655, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>Soil Geography and Landscape Group, Wageningen University, 6700 AA Wageningen, the Netherlands</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff5"><label>5</label><institution>School of Civil and Water Resources Engineering, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Tammo T. Steenhuis (tss1@cornell.edu)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>7</day><month>September</month><year>2016</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>2</volume>
      <issue>3</issue>
      <fpage>443</fpage><lpage>458</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>3</day><month>March</month><year>2016</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>10</day><month>March</month><year>2016</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>21</day><month>July</month><year>2016</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>22</day><month>July</month><year>2016</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/2/443/2016/soil-2-443-2016.html">This article is available from https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/2/443/2016/soil-2-443-2016.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/2/443/2016/soil-2-443-2016.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/2/443/2016/soil-2-443-2016.pdf</self-uri>


      <abstract>
    <p>Gully expansion in the Ethiopian
Highlands dissects vital agricultural lands with the eroded materials
adversely impacting downstream resources, for example as they accumulate in
reservoirs. While gully expansion and rehabilitation have been more
extensively researched in the semiarid region of Ethiopia, few studies have
been conducted in the (sub)humid region. For that reason, we assessed the
severity of gully erosion by measuring the expansion of 13 selected permanent
gullies in the subhumid Debre Mawi watershed, 30 km south of Lake Tana,
Ethiopia. In addition, the rate of expansion of the entire drainage network
in the watershed was determined using 0.5 m resolution aerial imagery from flights in 2005 and 2013. About 0.6 Mt (or 127 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) of
soil was lost during this period due to actively expanding gullies. The net
gully area in the entire watershed increased more than 4-fold from 4.5 ha in
2005 to 20.4 ha in 2013 (&gt; 3 % of the watershed area),
indicating the growing severity of gully erosion and hence land degradation
in the watershed.</p>
    <p>Soil losses were caused by upslope migrating gully heads through a
combination of gully head collapse and removal of the failed material by
runoff. Collapse of gully banks and retreat of headcuts was most severe in
locations where elevated groundwater tables saturated gully heads and banks,
destabilizing the soils by decreasing the shear strength. Elevated
groundwater tables were therefore the most important cause of gully
expansion. Additional factors that strongly relate to bank collapse were the
height of the gully head and the size of the drainage area. Soil physical
properties (e.g., texture and bulk density) only had minor effects.</p>
    <p>Conservation practices that address factors controlling erosion are the most
effective in protecting gully expansion. These consist of lowering water
table and regrading the gully head and sidewalls to reduce the occurrence of
gravity-induced mass failures. Planting suitable vegetation on the regraded
gully slopes will in addition decrease the risk of bank failure by reducing
pore-water pressures and reinforcing the soil. Finally, best management
practices that decrease runoff from the catchment will reduce the amount of
gully-related sediment loss.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p>Gully erosion is likely the most serious form of land
degradation (Poesen et al., 2003). Gullies form because they are an
energy-efficient way for runoff to travel from uplands to valley bottoms
(Gyssels and Poesen, 2003; Simon et al., 2011). Gullies can contribute more
than 90 % of catchment sediment yield (Tebebu et al., 2010; Simon et al.,
2011; Zegeye et al., 2014). They
have also been found to damage structures and transport routes (Nyssen et
al., 2004b; Valentin et al., 2005).</p>
      <p>Gullying is a threshold-dependent process controlled by a wide range of
factors (Valentin et al., 2005), including rainfall and flowing water, soil
properties, and drainage area. Capra et al. (2009) and Campo et al. (2013)
found that most of the gully erosion took place during heavy rainfall events
– i.e., storm events were one of the drivers for gully erosion. The
mechanical actions of the flowing water can result in a rapid mass movement
in the gullies by undercutting of the banks (see Fig. 1; Lanckriet et al.,
2015). When these mechanical actions at the gully head exceed the cohesive
strength of soil, erosion proceeds upslope through a headward cutting gully
(Muñoz-Robels et al., 2010). Interactions between such processes are
important as hydraulic erosion promotes bank collapse, which then modifies
subsequent hydraulic erosion (Thorne, 1990; Avni, 2005). Similarly, gully
formation is initiated with the occurrence of convergent shallow subsurface
flow that leads to seepage-induced erosion of surface soils, gully heads, and
sidewalls (Fig. 1f; Vanmaercke et al., 2016; Tilahun et al., 2013a) as well
as sliding (Fig. 1d). Soil saturation by a rising water table decreases the
soil shear strength (Poesen, 1993; Langendoen and Simon, 2008) and therefore
destabilizes banks (Simon et al., 2000; Langendoen et al., 2013). Active
gully networks are therefore predominantly found in the saturated valley
bottomlands (Tebebu et al., 2010; Steenhuis et al., 2014), and the deepest
and the most spectacular gullies occur in the bottom of the watershed, where,
in subhumid monsoonal and wetter climates, the soil becomes saturated
starting around the middle of the rain phase and then remain saturated until
the end of the rain phase (Tebebu et al., 2014).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><caption><p>Examples of gully expansion controlled by <bold>(a, b)</bold> bank
geometry (height and slope), <bold>(c)</bold> tension cracks, <bold>(d)</bold>
landslide, <bold>(e)</bold> soil pipes, and <bold>(f)</bold> saturated Vertisols
(gully development on conservation ditches, narrow ditch upstream of gully
headcut) in the subhumid Debre Mawi <bold>(a, b, d, f)</bold>, Mota <bold>(c)</bold>,
and Geregera <bold>(e)</bold> watersheds (pictures taken in 2013).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/2/443/2016/soil-2-443-2016-f01.jpg"/>

      </fig>

      <p>Soil properties and soil types also play a role in gully formation and
expansion. For example, Vertisols, heavy clay soils with a high proportion of
swelling clays (IUSS Working Group WRB, 2015), form deep, wide cracks from the
surface downward when they dry out (Fig. 1c) and are prone to the development
of pipes (Fig. 1e) that can collapse and thereby turn into large rills or
gullies (Valentin et al., 2005; Frankl et al., 2014). This may be one of the
reasons that most severe gully areas are often associated with Vertisols
(Valentin et al., 2005; Tebebu et al., 2014; Frankl et al., 2014). Similarly,
in pasture bottom lands, piping often leads to development of permanent
gullies (Jones, 1987; Zegeye et al., 2014). These pipes are part of gully
networks, and during the rain phase the infiltrating rainfall discharges
through the pipes, which increases the lower soil horizon's vulnerability to
erosion.</p>
      <p>The drainage area at the gully head is one of the parameters explaining
linear, areal, and volumetric gully headcut retreat (Vandekerckhove et al.,
2003; Frankl et al., 2012, 2013b; Vanmaercke et al., 2016).
Runoff-contributing drainage area can be used as a surrogate for runoff,
especially if it is assumed that the rainfall amount is equal for all
drainage areas and that surface conditions and land use are also very similar
(Oostwoud Wijdenes and Bryan, 2001). Frankl et al. (2012) reported for the
semiarid Tigray region in northern Ethiopia that, among all environmental
characteristics in a catchment, only the drainage area had a strong positive
association with gully headcut retreat (hereafter, headcut retreat refers to
the longitudinal gully growth and bank failure refers to cross-sectional
gully growth). Similarly, when data from stable and unstable subcatchments
were combined, were stream heads and drainage area of gully (Muñoz-Robles
et al., 2010). Nyssen et al. (2002) claimed that increasing the drainage area
of the gully head enhances gully development. Additionally, long-term retreat
rates often show negative-exponential trends with runoff-contributing area of
the gully head, which could be explained by the declining runoff-contributing
area of the gully head as it moves upslope (Begin et al., 1980).</p>
      <p>Most gully erosion studies in Ethiopia have been carried out in the semiarid
Tigray region in northern Ethiopia (e.g., Billi and Dramis, 2003; Nyssen et
al., 2006, 2008; Tamene et al., 2006; Frankl et al., 2011, 2012, 2013a, b,
c). In this region, rehabilitation of gully erosion has been relatively
successful (soil loss has been decreased to a range of 1–6 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) by
using check dams and upland soil and water conservation (SWC) measures
(Nyssen et al., 2004a, 2006, 2009). Using repeat photographs from 2006 to
2009, Frankl et al. (2011, 2013c) found that about 25 % of the assessed
gully sections were stabilized as a result of siltation behind check dams.
However, such physical structures have been ineffective in controlling gully
erosion in the (sub)humid Ethiopian Highlands, where gullies are formed in
saturated Vertisol areas and where water often bypasses the check dams
(Dagnew et al., 2015). Importantly, the amount of interflow and surface flow
in the humid region is different from that in the arid and semiarid regions
(Bayabil et al., 2010; Engda et al., 2011; Tilahun et al., 2013a, b;
Steenhuis et al., 2014). Conservation structures that are effective in
preventing gullying by overland flow in semiarid regions (Nyssen et al.,
2004a, 2006) may not be effective in the humid Ethiopian Highlands regions,
where interflow elevates groundwater tables in the valley bottom that promote
gully formation and expansion (Tebebu et al., 2010).</p>
      <p>Thus, there is a clear need for a better understanding of gully erosion
processes and factors in the subhumid Ethiopian Highlands in order to design
effective gully control or rehabilitation measures. The objectives of this
study were therefore (1) to understand gully erosion processes in the subhumid
Ethiopian Highlands and identify factors controlling these processes for
effective conservation practices and (2) to provide quantitative estimates
of the severity of gully erosion in the subhumid Debre Mawi watershed.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Materials and methods</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>Description of the study area</title>
      <p>The study area, the Debre Mawi watershed, is located in the subhumid
highlands of northwestern Ethiopia, 30 km south of Bahir Dar along the road to
Adet between 11<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>20<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and 11<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>22<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N and 37<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>24<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and
37<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>26<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E. The watershed drains an area of 608 ha. The altitude
ranges from 2194 to 2362 m a.s.l.; the elevations of the gullies considered
in this study range from 2212 to 2272 m a.s.l. Rainfall is unimodal with an
average value of 1240 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The majority of the annual rainfall
falls between June and the beginning of September and amounts to
900 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The rainfall gauge station in the Debre Mawi watershed
was constructed in 2008 by the Adet Agricultural Research Center to record
rainfall in the rain phase only. The dry season lasts between 8 and 9 months. The
mean daily temperature is 20 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C.</p>
      <p>The hydro-geomorphology of the Debre Mawi watershed is strongly controlled by
the geological setting. The lava dykes in the watershed affect the hydrology
upslope, forcing subsurface flow to the surface resulting in saturated source
areas for surface runoff (Abiy, 2009). Soils are mainly Nitisols in the
uplands, Vertisols in the bottom slopes, and Regosols on the steep
hillslopes. In total, 92 % of the watershed is cultivated, 6 % is rangeland, and
the remaining 2 % is mainly covered by eucalyptus trees and shrubs, a
small village, and the road linking Bahir Dar with Adet. The small indigenous
shrubs are predominantly found on the steep hillslopes.</p>
      <p>The soils on the steep slopes (20–30<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) in the upper regions are too
shallow to sustain crop growth, whereas the less sloping areas in the upper
portion of the watershed are predominately cultivated with the major crops:
teff (<italic>Eragrostis abyssinica</italic>), finger millet (<italic>Eleusine coracana</italic>), maize (<italic>Zea mays</italic>), and wheat (<italic>Triticum aestivum</italic>).
The mid-slopes of the watershed consist of cropland with mainly teff and some
finger millet and maize. Most fields in this area are cropped twice a year.
In the main growing season (June–August), farmers primarily cultivate teff
and barley (<italic>Hordeum vulgare)</italic>, and after these crops are harvested,
they use the residual moisture to cultivate chickpeas (<italic>Cicer arietinum</italic>), grass pea (<italic>Lathyrus sativus</italic>), and wheat as secondary
crops from September to December. The gently sloping areas (0–6<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)
contain the periodically saturated bottomlands, which are in pasture and
significantly affected by active gully networks. Free grazing is prohibited
on most of the grazing lands, particularly on the upper slopes and the
valley-bottom areas where the gullies form. The community established bylaws
in 2010 to sustain this enclosure, and the farmers started to use a
cut-and-carry system to feed their livestock: biomass is now cut on this
enclosed part of the watershed and then transported to farms for fodder. This
cut-and-carry system is primarily aimed at gully rehabilitation but also used
as a best practice to maximize biomass yields for animal feed, although
enforcement of the rules is inconsistent.</p>
      <p>Here, we focus on the gully processes in the bottomlands and study both the
medium-term (8 years, from 2005 to 2013) and short-term (2 years, from 2013
to 2014) gully advancement in the watershed. Specifically, we conducted a
comprehensive study of the dynamics of 13 gully headcuts (hereafter referred
to as G1 through G13), as well as the factors controlling these dynamics. Gullies G1
and G9 through G13 are located in the central part of the watershed, and
gullies G2 through G8 are located at the bottom flat area of the watershed
(Fig. 2). All gullies except G11 and part of G6 are situated on communal
grazing lands that were enclosed recently.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>Data collection and analysis</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS1">
  <title>Measuring gully widening and headcut retreat during the 2013
and 2014 rain phases</title>
      <p>During the 2013 and 2014 monsoon rain phases, for 13 gullies, we measured
(1) the headcut retreat (longitudinal growth) and gully widening (or lateral
retreat) 10–30 m downslope from the headcut and (2) the gully expansion
rates and associated amount of soil loss along the total gully length.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><caption><p>The combined length, area, and volume of the total gully network in
the 608 ha Debre Mawi watershed obtained from satellite imagery in 2005 and
2013. The “soil loss” in the last column represents the total soil loss
from the gully network preceding the date of measurements and is calculated
as the gully volume in the fourth column times the bulk density. Errors were
estimated using Eqs. (8) and (9).</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="5">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Year</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Gully length,  km</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Gully area,  ha</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Gully volume,  10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Soil loss,  10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> t</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Observed data in 2005</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">8.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">4.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">140</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">168</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Estimated error in 2005</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.17</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Observed data in 2013</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">26.0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">20.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">654</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">784</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Estimated error in 2013</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.87</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">13</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Increase from 2005 to 2013</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">17.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">15.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">514</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">616</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Relative change, %, 2005–2013</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">199</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">350</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">366</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">366</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

<?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2" orientation="landscape"><caption><p>Increase in surface area and corresponding soil loss of the 13
gullies in the Debre Mawi watershed in the period between 2005 and 2014.
Surface area up to March 2013 was obtained by digitizing the gully edges on
aerial imagery and the next two rain phases by manual measurement.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.78}[.78]?><oasis:tgroup cols="19">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="left" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="10" colname="col10" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="11" colname="col11" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="12" colname="col12" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="13" colname="col13" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="14" colname="col14" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="15" colname="col15" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="16" colname="col16" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="17" colname="col17" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="18" colname="col18" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="19" colname="col19" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col1" morerows="3">Gully name</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col2" nameend="col7" align="center" colsep="1">Gully surface area (m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col8"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col9"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col10"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col11"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col12"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col13"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col14"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col15"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col16"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col17"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col18"/>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col19"/>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry namest="col2" nameend="col5" align="center" colsep="1">From aerial image </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col6" nameend="col7" align="center" colsep="1">Manual measurement </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col8" nameend="col9" align="center" colsep="1">Bulk density (g cm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col10" nameend="col14" align="center" colsep="1">2005–2014 </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col15" nameend="col19" align="center">2013–2014 </oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">06/03/05</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">04/05/11</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">03/04/12</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">23/03/13</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">18/09/13</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">18/10/14</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Measured</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Error</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">Change in</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">Error</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">Change in</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">Error</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">Soil</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">Error (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">Change in</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">Error</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">Soil loss</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">Error</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">area (m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">(m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">volume (m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">(m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">loss (t)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">(t)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">volume (m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">(m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">loss (t)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">(t)</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G1</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">140</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">265</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">390</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">420</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">440</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">440</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.26</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.02</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">300</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">42</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">709</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">84</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">894</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">107</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">52</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">66</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">11</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G2</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">785</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2700</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3330</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">3560</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">3573</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">3575</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.19</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.02</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">2790</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">395</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">10 354</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">817</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">12 321</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">1005</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">63</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">11</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">75</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">13</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G3</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">210</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">530</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">600</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1430</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1460</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1460</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.14</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.05</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">1250</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">177</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">3712</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">360</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">4232</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">447</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">103</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">18</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">117</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">21</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G4</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">230</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">400</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">450</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">750</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">780</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">785</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.17</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.11</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">555</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">78</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">1488</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">157</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">1740</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">244</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">104</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">18</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">122</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">24</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G5</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">2820</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">10 700</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">11 500</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">13 700</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">13 960</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">14 050</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.16</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.04</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">11 230</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">1588</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">56 511</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">3383</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">65 553</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">4618</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">2000</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">346</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">2320</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">411</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G6</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1720</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">6770</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">8100</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">9110</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">9580</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">9960</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.22</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.18</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">8240</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">1165</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">38 076</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">2467</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">46 453</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">7492</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">4463</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">773</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">5445</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">1239</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G7</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">110</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">365</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">365</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">385</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">390</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">390</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.15</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.05</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">280</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">40</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">639</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">78</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">735</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">95</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">13</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">2</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">15</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">3</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G8</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">365</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2140</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2860</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">3740</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">3850</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">3890</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.19</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.09</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">3525</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">498</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">12 856</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">1038</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">15 299</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">1674</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">640</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">111</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">762</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">143</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">40</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">730</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1050</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">1120</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1150</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1180</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.19</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.09</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">1140</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">161</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">3102</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">328</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">3691</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">485</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">195.3</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">34</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">232</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">44</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G10</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">50</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">190</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">400</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">455</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">460</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">460</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.25</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.11</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">410</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">58</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">928</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">116</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">1160</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">180</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">13</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">2</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">17</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">3</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G11</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">152</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">600</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">750</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">890</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1020</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1070</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.23</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.07</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">918</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">130</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">2540</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">263</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">3124</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">363</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">565</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">98</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">695</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">126</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G12</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">50</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">170</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">240</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">255</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">255</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">260</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.22</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.06</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">210</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">30</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">428</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">58</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">522</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">75</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">12</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">2</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">14</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">3</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G13</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">199</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">240</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">345</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">365</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">370</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">370</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.14</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.05</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">171</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">24</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">405</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">47</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">462</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">58</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">13</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">2</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">14</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">3</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Total</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">6800</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">25 800</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">30 380</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">36 180</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">37 288</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">37 890</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.19</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.30</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">31 019</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">2091</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col12">131 748</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col13">4432</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col14">156 186</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col15">9053</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col16">8236</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col17">861</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col18">9894</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col19">1321</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><caption><p>Location of the Debre Mawi watershed within the Blue Nile River
basin, Ethiopia (top figures). The watershed map (bottom) shows the contour lines, elevation, streams lines, and the 13 studied gullies (shown in distinct colors and labeled beginning with the letter G). Projected coordinate
system: WGS_1984_UTM_Zone_37<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/2/443/2016/soil-2-443-2016-f02.jpg"/>

          </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><caption><p><bold>(a)</bold> Cross section segmentation methodology to determine the
cross-sectional area of the gullies. <bold>(b)</bold> Measured profiles of a
cross section located on gully G6 during the 2013 rain phase, showing the
lateral and downward expansion of the gully.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/2/443/2016/soil-2-443-2016-f03.jpg"/>

          </fig>

      <p>To measure the headcut retreat and widening of the 13 gullies, we divided the
gully downslope of the headcut into three to eight uniform segments. The average
distance between two consecutive cross sections was 3.6 m and varied from
1 to 10 m with a standard deviation of 2.7 m. This method of measuring the
gully dimensions is relatively precise, simple, and low-cost compared with
other methods (Casalí et al., 2006, 2015). Gully cross-sectional
geometry was surveyed by dividing the cross section into trapezoidal segments
at abrupt changes in the ground profile and then measuring the width and depth of
the gully at each segment (Fig. 3). Cross-sectional area (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and surface
area (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and volume (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) were then calculated:

                  <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E1"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:mfenced close="|" open="|"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>w</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E2"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E3"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>N</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

              where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the number of trapezoidal segment sides of height <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>h</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and located a
distance <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>w</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> from the left gully edge in a cross section (Fig. 3a), <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is a
trapezoidal segment index, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is cross section width, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is cross section index,
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is number of cross sections, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is length of the gully section
between cross sections <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <p>Measurements were carried out repeatedly (about eight times for large gullies to
five times for small gullies mainly following large rainstorms and the
period between surveys not exceeding 2 weeks) using a tape meter and
benchmark pins installed 5 to 10 m from the gully edges. However, a few
gullies expanded more than this distance and the affected pins were
reinstalled 5 to 10 m upslope of the newly formed gully bank.</p>
      <p>To estimate gully expansion and the amount of soil loss from the total gully
reach, three gully topographic surveys (before and after the rain phases of
2013 and 2014) were conducted. The total soil loss volume over the
monitoring period was then obtained by taking the difference in <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mtext>T</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> after
and before the 2013 and 2014 rain phase. The mass of the soil loss was
calculated by multiplying the soil loss volume for each subsection
(calculated using Eq. 3) by the measured average bulk density of the soils
(see Sect. 3).</p>
      <p>The relationships between the change in gully headcut dimensions (lateral,
headward, and volumetric erosion) and the controlling factors (daily
rainfall, cumulative rainfall, water table, drainage area, headcut height,
and soil physical properties such as bulk density and soil texture) were
analyzed. Additionally, empirical relationships between the volumetric
retreat (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the lateral (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>W</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and longitudinal (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) retreat were developed.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS2">
  <title>Gully erosion dynamics from 2005 to 2013</title>
      <p>To place the 2-year gully expansion (Sect. 2.2.1) in a broader context, we
measured, in addition, the gully dynamics over an 8-year period. Following
the approach of Frankl et al. (2013a), we determined the surficial land loss
area due to gullying for the Debre Mawi watershed by digitizing all gully
edges in Google Earth on aerial imagery from flights on 6 March 2005 and
23 March 2013. This was done for not only the 13 gullies discussed above but
for all gullies found in the watershed (Table 1). The horizontal resolution
of the imagery was 0.5 m.</p>
      <p>Gullies were digitized by determining the location of each gully in the
watershed using a hand-held GPS with a horizontal accuracy of about 3 m on
August 2013, after which its coordinates were imported into Google Earth to
situate all gullies on the aerial imagery. The gully edges were then
digitized using Google Earth's polygon mapping tool. Finally, the digitized
polygons were converted to shape-file format using ESRI's ArcGIS software,
which was also used to calculate the surface area and the length of each
gully. Since gully volume could not be obtained from aerial measurements, it
was derived from the digitized gully surface area through a regression of
the surface area and volume of the measurements of the 13 gullies with
surface area in 2013 ranging from 260 to 14 050 m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Table 2, Fig. S1a).
The following regression equation was obtained.

                  <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.54</mml:mn><mml:msup><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mn>1.226</mml:mn></mml:msup><?xmltex \hack{\hspace*{5mm}}?><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.98</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

            where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the gully surface area (m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) obtained from Google Earth
and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the predicted volume (m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) of the gully. The total gully
volume for the entire watershed is then simply the sum of all individual
gully volumes. The goodness-of-fit parameters (see Sect. 2.2.4) between
measured volume and estimated (Eq. 4) volume (Fig. S1b in the Supplement) are
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.98, NSE <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.99, and PBIAS <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.8 %. Obviously
Eq. (4) is only valid in the subhumid Debre Mawi watershed, where the valley
soils are deep and the depth is not restricted by bedrock. The area-to-volume
relationship developed by Frankl et al. (2013b) for gullies in the semiarid
Ethiopian Highlands has a different form because of bedrock at shallow depth
that limits the vertical growth.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS3">
  <title>Additional measurements to determine factors controlling gully
expansion</title>
      <p>Ground water elevation is believed to be one of the most important factors
for gully formation and bank instability (Tebebu et al., 2010). Therefore,
groundwater depths were measured using a piezometer installed 5–10 m above
each gully head (13 piezometers). Intrusion of silt and sand to the
piezometer was prevented by wrapping filter fabric around the 40 cm long
screened bottom end. All piezometers were capped to prevent rainwater entry
and were set in concrete to prevent any physical damage. Groundwater table
elevations were read using a measuring tape twice a day: in the morning and
in the evening.</p>
      <p>Daily precipitation was measured at 5 min intervals using an
automatic, self-emptying, tipping-bucket rain gauge installed in the northern portion
of the watershed. The drainage area (DA) above the gully heads was
determined from topographic analysis in a geographical information system (GIS)
using a digital elevation model (DEM) with 30 m horizontal resolution.</p>
      <p>A total of 55 soil samples for bulk density (BD) and for textural analysis
were collected from different soil layers along the profile of the sidewalls
near the gully head (the number of layers varied from three to five depending on
the gully depth). Samples for BD were collected with a 98 cm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (5 cm
high) cylindrical core sampler. Soil samples were dried for 24 h at 105 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C,
and bulk density was calculated by dividing the mass of the
oven-dried soil by the volume of the core. The textural analysis was carried
out using the hydrometer method after sieving (Day, 1965).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2.SSS4">
  <title>Statistical and uncertainty analysis</title>
      <p>The statistical measures used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the
empirical relationships were the coefficient of determination (Eq. 5), the
Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (Eq. 6) and percent bias (Eq. 7):

                  <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E5"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E6"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NSE</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E7"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PBIAS</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mn>100</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

              where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the predicted and the observed values,
respectively, and the overbar indicates their arithmetic mean value. The
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (ranging from 0 to 1) describes the degree of collinearity between
predicted and measured data and is sensitive to extreme values and
insensitive to proportional differences. NSE is a normalized statistic that
determines the relative magnitude of the residual variance (ranging from <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">∞</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
to 1). In general, based on Ritter and Muñoz-Carpena (2013),
NSE &gt; 0.65 is considered acceptable, NSE <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 indicates a perfect
fit, and an NSE &lt; 0 suggests that the mean of the observed values
is a better predictor than the evaluated model itself. PBIAS is the average
tendency of predicted values with respect to their observed counterparts
(ranging between <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100 and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>100). The optimal value of PBIAS is zero, with
values close to zero indicating accurate model simulation.</p>
      <p>In order to determine the uncertainty of the calculated gully expansion
metrics, the following errors were considered: (1) error generated from
using the average bulk density to calculate the mass of soil loss,
(2) measurement errors of length, width, and cross-sectional area of the gully,
and (3) the accuracy of the drainage area estimated from the DEM.</p>
      <p>We obtained the measurements errors as follows. The bulk density measurement
error was equated with the standard deviation of all bulk density samples
(three to five samples were taken for up to five layers of each gully). The
absolute measurement error of the gully length and width was assumed to be
related to tape measurement and was estimated at 0.1 m. The absolute
measurement error of the cross-sectional area was 1 m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> based on
previous experience.</p>
      <p>The absolute drainage area (DA) measurement error was mainly attributed to
the accuracy of the DEM that was used to delineate the drainage area. For
this, we used the relationship of the relative errors (%re<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">DA</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula>) in 14
subcatchments studied by Oksanen and Sarjakoski (2005), which is
%re<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">DA</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 11.3 exp(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.0006 DA). The absolute error is then
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">DA</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.113 DA exp(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.0006 DA).</p>
      <p>To calculate the uncertainty of the surface area (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>), volume (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and soil
loss (SL) of the gullies we used the method presented by Ku (1966) on the
propagation error (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>e</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) as

                  <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E8"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>±</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mfenced open="[" close="]"><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mfenced><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E9"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mfenced close="|" open="|"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mfenced><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

              where <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are the absolute errors of the variables <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>
that stand for either length, width, area, volume, or bulk density. The
absolute error for headcut retreat measurement in each gully was obtained by
first calculating the absolute error for each gully segment using Eqs. (8)
and (9). Finally, we used Eq. (8) to calculate the combined error from all
segments in each gully (Table 3). The absolute relative error in predicting
gully volume for the 13 gullies was obtained by subtracting the measured
volume from the predicted gully volume using Eq. (4) and then dividing for
each gully by the measured value. Then we calculated the combined error for
the combined volumes of the 13 gullies using Eq. (8). The error in volume
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mtext>v</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) calculated from the digitized surface area for all gullies in
the watershed was estimated based on the errors calculated from the 13
gullies investigated in more detail. This relationship is as follows:
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>e</mml:mi><mml:mtext>v</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.25 S<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>1.02</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Results</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>Gully expansion rates at the watershed scale (2005–2013)</title>
      <p>The expansion of the gully network in the Debre Mawi watershed significantly
impacted the landscape (Table 1, Fig. S2 in the Supplement). Based on the
digitized aerial images of 2005 and 2013 we found that the total length of
the gully network increased from 8.7 km in 2005 to 26 km in 2013 (Table 1,
Table S1 in the Supplement). The surface area taken up by the gully expanded
from 4.5 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.17 ha in 2005 to 20.4 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.4 ha (or 3 % of the
watershed) in 2013, or equivalent to 2 ha yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Using Eq. (4), this
represents a soil loss of about 0.80 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.013 Mt, which is
equivalent to 127 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Tables 1 and 2).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>Expansion rates of the 13 gullies (2005–2014)</title>
      <p>In this section we discuss the 13 gullies (G1–G13) monitored in more detail.
They have a combined watershed area of 200 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 9.4 ha (Table 3).
Measurements were used from both aerial imagery (up to 23 March 2013) and
manual measurement (2013–2014 rain phases) (Table 2). The surface area of
the 13 gullies was 0.7 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.05 ha in 2005 and expanded to a total
of 3.8 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.26 ha in 2014. The corresponding soil loss from these
gullies between 2005 and 2014 was estimated at 156 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 9 t
(Table 2). This is equivalent to 78 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (ranging from 7
to 350 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> with standard deviation of
90 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for the individual gullies). During the last 2
years of the study (2013–2014), the land area lost due to the expansion of
the 13 gullies was 0.17 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.014 ha (Table 2), which is about
10 000 t of soil (of which about 60 % or 47 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> occurred in
2013) and is equivalent to 25 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.8 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The soil
loss of the individual gullies ranged from 14 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 3 t
(1.5 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.3 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) for G12 to 5445 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 804 t
(205 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 52 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) for G6 (Table 2). In 2014, the
longitudinal growth of most gullies (G1, G2, G3, G6, G7, G10, G12, and G13)
was significantly reduced resulting in less annual soil loss (Table 3).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3" orientation="landscape"><caption><p>List of soil and gully topographic factors for the 13 gully heads
in the Debre Mawi watershed, as well as observed gully head erosion during the 2013
and 2014 rain phases (between July and September). BD is bulk density and DA
is drainage area.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.92}[.92]?><oasis:tgroup cols="16">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="10" colname="col10" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="11" colname="col11" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="12" colname="col12" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="13" colname="col13" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="14" colname="col14" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="15" colname="col15" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="16" colname="col16" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Gully</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Min. water table</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Clay content</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry namest="col4" nameend="col5" align="center">Mean bulk  </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Headcut</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry namest="col7" nameend="col8" align="center">Drainage  </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry namest="col9" nameend="col10" align="center">Linear headcut  </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry namest="col11" nameend="col12" align="center">Area retreat (m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry namest="col13" nameend="col14" align="center">Volumetric retreat (m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry namest="col15" nameend="col16" align="center">Soil loss (t) </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">name</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">depth (m)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(%)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col4" nameend="col5" align="center">density (g cm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">depth (m)</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col7" nameend="col8" align="center">area (ha) </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col9" nameend="col10" align="center">retreat (m) </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col11" nameend="col12" align="center">2013–2014 </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col13" nameend="col14" align="center">2013–2014 </oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" namest="col15" nameend="col16" align="center">2013–2014 </oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Measured</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Error</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Measured</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Error</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">2013</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">2014</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">Measured</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">Error</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">Measured</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">Error</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">Measured</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">Error</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.50</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">58</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.26</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.02</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">3.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">12.8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.44</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">3.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.46</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">1.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">2.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.22</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">53</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.02</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">2.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">13</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.46</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">2.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">10.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">1.32</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">32</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">5.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">38.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">6.4</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.02</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">55</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.14</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.05</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">41.6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">4.59</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">36</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">22.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">3.17</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">146</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">25.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">167</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">29.7</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.59</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">59</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.17</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">15.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">1.57</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">61</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">7.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">72</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">11.3</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.05</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">60</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.16</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.04</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4.8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">68</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">7.38</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">10</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">101.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">10.16</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">1087</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">167</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">1260</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">199.4</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.08</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">67</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.22</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.18</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4.6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">13.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.49</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">12</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">182.0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">25.66</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">413</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">71.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">504</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">114.7</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.36</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">59</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.15</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.05</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.08</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.09</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">0.1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">0.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">0.2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.07</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">56</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.09</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">3.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">17.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.95</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">24.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">108.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">12.10</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">237</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">34.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">281</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">46.1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.20</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">59</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.09</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">3.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">6.8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.77</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">3.8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">1.65</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">21.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">2.46</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">73</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">9.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">87</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">13.2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G10</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.44</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">55</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.25</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">2.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">6.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.73</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">2.7</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.38</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">1.0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">7.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">1.5</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G11</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.45</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">66</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.23</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.07</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">4.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">9.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.03</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">6.2</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">1.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">123.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">14.17</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">356</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">55.6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">437</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">72.2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G12</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.38</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">66</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.22</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.06</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1.9</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">4.1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.46</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.07</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">5.0</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">0.71</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">0.6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">0.7</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">G13</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.25</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">60</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.14</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.05</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1.3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">4.8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.54</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.04</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">10.1</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">1.18</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">3</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">0.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">2.8</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">0.6</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Total/ave.</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.82</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">59.5</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.30</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">2.84</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">200</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">9.4</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">103</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">19</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col11">608</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col12">33.6</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col13">2427</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col14">195</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col15">2873</oasis:entry>  
         <oasis:entry colname="col16">248</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><caption><p>The observed expansion of the 13 study gullies in the Debre Mawi
watershed (see Fig. 2 for gully location): <bold>(a)</bold> cumulative headcut
retreat and rainfall during the 2013 rain phase, <bold>(b)</bold> increase in
gully surface area and volume during the 2013 and 2014 rain phases, and
<bold>(c)</bold> increase in the combined gully surface area and the total
summer rainfall (RF) between 2011 and 2014.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/2/443/2016/soil-2-443-2016-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p>The recorded precipitation during the 2013 rain phase (44 days of rainfall)
was 917 mm, and in 2014 (31 days of rainfall) it was 1107 mm (Fig. 4c). The gully
headcut retreat in 2013 ranged from 0.04 to 36 m, with a combined total of
103 m (Fig. 4a, Table 3), whereas the total retreat in 2014 ranged from 0 to
7 m, with a combined total of 19 m (Table 3). Over these two monsoon
seasons (2013–2014), about 608 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 33 m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> of cultivated land was
consumed by only the longitudinal headcut retreat of the 13 gullies. This is
equivalent to 36 % of the increase in total surface area (both
longitudinal and lateral retreat of the entire gully) of the 13 gullies
during 2013–2014, and about 1.5 % of the total surface area of the 13
gullies since their formation up to 2014. During 2013–2014, the soil loss
solely due to headcut migration equalled 2875 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 248 t (Table 3),
which represented 30 % of the total soil loss from the 13 gullies in the
same period presented in Table 2. The total 2-year soil loss caused by the
linear headcut retreat of the individual gullies varied from 0.9 (G7) to 1260 t (G5) (Fig. 4b, Table 3). During 2013, only 6 of the 13 gullies (G3, G4,
G5, G6, G8, and G11) actively expanded, with lateral retreat (widening) varying
from 3 to 11 m and a headward retreat varying from 6 to 36 m, while the
other gullies remained fairly stable. The headcuts of gullies G3 and G8
migrated the farthest, 36 and 24 m, respectively, but only during the 2013
rain phase. However, because of the relatively shallow headcut depth (1.4 m)
and narrow width (2.6 m) of gully G3, its headcut migration contributed
little (only 7 %) to the total soil loss of the 13 gullies (Fig. 4b). As
shown in Fig. 4b, the four largest gullies (G5, G6, G8, and G11) were
responsible for about 94 % of the total soil loss from the 13 gullies.
The relationships between the lateral and longitudinal retreat and the
associated volumetric soil losses are discussed in Sect. 4.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <title>Factors controlling gully headcut retreat and their relationships
with gully dimensions (2013)</title>
      <p>The linear headcut retreat of the gullies varied by more than an order of
magnitude and was not related to geographic location. This variation should,
therefore, be explained by other factors, including groundwater elevation,
soil physical properties (texture, bulk density, and porosity), gully head
height, and drainage area (Table 3).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T4" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Power-type and linear regression equations of the longitudinal
headcut retreat, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and the volumetric gully expansion, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, with the
controlling factors, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, listed in the first column: <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The
goodness of the fit is represented by the coefficient of determination,
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="11">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="10" colname="col10" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="11" colname="col11" align="center"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col1" morerows="2">Controlling factors (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col2" nameend="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col5" nameend="col6">For linear regression </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col7" nameend="col9"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>X</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col10" nameend="col11">For linear regression </oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry namest="col2" nameend="col4"/>

         <oasis:entry namest="col5" nameend="col6">equation of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> with (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col7" nameend="col9"/>

         <oasis:entry namest="col10" nameend="col11">equation of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> with (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) </oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>a</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>b</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> value</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>a</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>b</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> value</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Water table</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.73</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1.11</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.62</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.64</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.001</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">12.7</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.09</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.60</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.49</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.009</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Drainage area</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.21</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1.047</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.33</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.28</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.06</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">2.32</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.26</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.47</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.67</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.0007</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Headcut depth</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.25</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2.16</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.21</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.0004</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1.57</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">3.24</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.47</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.49</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.007</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Clay content</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">110.7</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>1.05</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.023</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.05</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.46</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.000</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">4.04</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.018</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.08</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.35</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Bulk density</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">5.73</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>6.2</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.008</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.13</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.23</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">26.8</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1.28</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col9">0.0004</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col10">0.02</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col11">0.67</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p>The correlation between the observed change in linear gully headcut retreat
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the precipitation recorded during the day of the gully
head retreat occurrence varied between <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.23 and 0.88. Some of the big
gullies such as G5, G6, and G11 showed strong correlation
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.88, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.009 and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.84, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.017), whereas gullies with the
greatest linear retreat (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 36 m and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 24 m; Fig. 4a) showed weak relationships
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.27, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.55 and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">G</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">8</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.34, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.37). The fairly low correlation
coefficient is likely caused by the time delay between daily rainfall and
saturation of the soil surrounding the gully (Tebebu et al., 2010; Tilahun et
al., 2013b). Saturation of the gully banks is principally responsible for
destabilizing the gully head (Tebebu et al., 2010). Due to such slow
saturation processes, the daily precipitation and gully head retreat on the
same day are not correlated well. This does not mean that precipitation was
not related to retreat since the largest retreat rates were observed on
13 August 2013, after the maximum recorded daily rainfall (94 mm) on
7 August 2013, with little or no rainfall within this period (Fig. 4a).</p>
      <p>The combined linear retreat (daily and cumulative) of the 13 gully heads in
2013 was compared with three different rainfall amounts: daily rainfall
recorded during the retreat events, cumulative rainfall between gully head
retreat events, and the cumulative rainfall since the beginning of the rain
phase. The combined linear headcut retreat showed a moderate relationship
with daily rainfall (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.76, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.13) but fairly
strong relationship with cumulative rainfall between retreat events
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.91, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.01). Note that the relationship with
daily rainfall was relatively high due to the retreat that occurred on
13 August 2013 during the largest rainfall event as discussed above. When
this rainfall was excluded from the analysis, the correlation was reduced to
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.035 (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.95). The combined cumulative linear
retreat was highly correlated with the cumulative rainfall since the
beginning of the rain phase (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.99, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.0001).
This clearly indicates that cumulative rainfall, and thus gradual wetting and
saturation of the soil, is more important to headcut retreat than the wetting
and surface runoff from daily rainfall or individual storms.</p>
      <p>The drainage area for the studied gullies varied from 0.7 (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.1) to 68
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 7) ha with an average value of 15.4 ha and standard deviation of
18.9 ha (Table 3). In order to understand whether drainage area is related
to both linear and volumetric retreat of the gully in 2013, simple linear
regression models (Eqs. 10 and 11) and power-law relationships (Eqs. 12
and 13) between drainage area (DA, in ha) and cumulative headcut retreat
length (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, in m) and increase in gully volume (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) were
developed. Since rainfall in 2014 was less erosive and small gullies did not
retreat, we did not use regression relationships for the 2014 rain phase.

                <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E10"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.3</mml:mn><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">DA</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn>3.15</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.28</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.06</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E11"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>11.7</mml:mn><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">DA</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn>13.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.67</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.0007</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

            Fitting a power-law relationship between both the linear (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and volumetric
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) gully retreat and drainage area yielded

                <disp-formula specific-use="align" content-type="numbered"><mml:math display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E12"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>L</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.21</mml:mn><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">DA</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn>1.047</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.33</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E13"><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>2.32</mml:mn><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">DA</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn>1.26</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn>0.48</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

            The predicted <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> using Eqs. (10) and (11) were compared linearly
with the measured <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. The goodness-of-fit parameters for the length
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and volume <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> were <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.28 (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.06),
NSE<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.11, and PBIAS<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 52 % and
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>V</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.69 (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>≪</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.01), NSE<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>V</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.47,
and PBIAS<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>V</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 49 %, respectively. Similarly, the predicted
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> using power-type regression equations (Eqs. 12 and 13) were
compared with the measured <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. The goodness-of-fit parameters were
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.33, NSE<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.36, and
PBIAS<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 98 % and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>V</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.48,
NSE<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>V</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.48, and PBIAS<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mtext>V</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 49 %. For both
the linear and power-type fitting, the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and NSE of the volumetric gully
retreat were larger than those for the gully linear retreat.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5"><caption><p>Comparison of minimum groundwater table depth, gully headcut depth,
and the average groundwater table (WT) fluctuation between morning and night for the 13
study gullies in the Debre Mawi watershed, Ethiopia, for the 2013 rain phase.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/2/443/2016/soil-2-443-2016-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p>Figure 5 shows the water table rose above the gully bottom for all 13 gullies
during the rain phase, which indicates mostly saturated gully head and bank
soils. In this study, the water table measurements were carried out twice a
day (i.e., in the morning and evening). The groundwater table fluctuated
between these readings (Fig. 5), but the variation was not significant
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.98). The water table decreased between morning and evening
readings on average by 0.7 cm with a standard deviation of 4.0 cm. The
greatest fluctuations were observed at G2 (Fig. 5). The power-type regression
model between the minimum water table depth during the rain phase (ranging
from 0.02 m at G3 to 1.5 m at G1) and the linear retreat and volumetric
expansion of the 13 gullies had fairly high coefficients of determination
with length (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.62) and volume (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>V</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.60) (Table 4).</p>
      <p>By fitting a simple linear regression, the volumetric gully expansion was
significantly related to the height of the gully headcut (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>V</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.49, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.007). However, the linear retreat of the gully was not
explained by the headcut height (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.0004,
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.9). The reason is likely the fact that gully G3, which had large
linear retreat but small headcut height, affected the analysis. When this
gully is excluded from the analysis, the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mtext>L</mml:mtext><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for the linear
and power relationship between the gully linear retreat and gully head height
increased from 0.0004 to 0.26 (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.09) and from 0.21 to 0.52,
respectively. In this case, the gully height fairly well explained the linear
retreat. Note that gully heads of lower height are relatively more stable than
those with greater heights as the factor of safety for stability is
approximately inversely proportional to gully head height. An equivalent
increase in gully head stability can be obtained by regrading the gully head
to a lower slope.</p>
      <p>The major soil texture for all gully banks was clay-sized (53 to 67 % with
standard deviation of 4.5 %), and an average bulk density of
1.2 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.3 g cm<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Table 3). The gully head retreat rates were only weakly
correlated with the texture (Table 4), probably because of the limited
variation in soil texture. Linear regression and power-type regression of
clay content with the volumetric and linear headcut retreat were therefore
not significant (Table 4).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <title>Effects of gully erosion on agricultural lands</title>
      <p>Gully expansion affects the economic feasibility of soil conservation
measures in reducing the amount of land available to farm. In 2013, the net
gully area in the Debre Mawi watershed was 3 % of the watershed area. If
additional strips of 1 m width on each side of the gully area is not
cultivated, the total area taken up by gullies becomes 5 % of the total
watershed area.</p>
      <p>Most gullies in the watershed were not stable and impaired more than 16 ha of agricultural land from 2005 to 2013. Gully expansion in the Debre
Mawi watershed is not evenly distributed because the upper slopes of the
watershed (about 50 % of the watershed area) reduces gully formation
mainly because it does not saturate (Tilahun et al., 2013b; Steenhuis et al.,
2014; Tebebu et al., 2015). Gully expansion therefore affects mostly the
bottomlands, where soils become saturated around the beginning of July
(Tilahun et al., 2013b). A loss of 2 ha of productive farmland per year is
considerable for any farmer, but even more significant in a region with
smallholder farmers. As farmers' land holding in the Ethiopian Highlands is
about 1 ha of land per household (Sonneveld and Keyzer, 2003), the
land loss observed between 2005 and 2013 could have provided farmland for 16
farming households in the watershed.</p>
      <p>The rate of soil erosion (2005–2014) due to gully expansion in the
subhumid Debre Mawi watershed (127 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) is more than 5
times as much as the upland erosion reported by Tebebu et al. (2010) and
Zegeye et al. (2010) in this watershed. The soil loss relative to the
change in gully surface area is about 4000 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> or
400 kg m<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, which is more than 2-fold the rate reported by Daba et
al. (2003) for semiarid eastern Ethiopia over a 30-year period. One of the
reasons for the difference is that the gullies in the subhumid Debre Mawi
watershed are much deeper than in the semiarid area studied by Daba et
al. (2003). Another reason is that the soils are more often saturated in a humid
climate than in semiarid areas. Upland soil and water conservation
practices are not effective for areas with gullies because sediment
concentration in the runoff increased greatly, effectively negating any
positive effect of upstream practices (Zegeye et al., 2015).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T5" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Relationships of the
volumetric gully headcut erosion (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) with the headward migration length
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the lateral erosion (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) during the 2013 rain phase for the 13
gullies in the Debre Mawi watershed. The observed gully volumes were fitted
as functions of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> using power-law and linear regression models.
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> refer to <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> as a function of <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>,
respectively.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="8">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="center" colsep="1"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="center"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry rowsep="1" colname="col1" morerows="1">Relationship</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col2" nameend="col5" colsep="1">Power-law relationship (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mi>b</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry namest="col6" nameend="col8">Predicted versus measured </oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>a</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>b</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">NSE</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">PBIAS</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.65</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2.15</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.63</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.63</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.89</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>21</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">18.3</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.91</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.83</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.83</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.004</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>32.4</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>

         <oasis:entry namest="col2" nameend="col4">Linear regression (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mi>m</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) </oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>

         <oasis:entry namest="col6" nameend="col8">Predicted versus measured </oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">NSE</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">PBIAS</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">33</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>115</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.87</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">6.2 <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.89</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.88</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">11</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>

         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col2">6.9</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col3">112</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.07</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.36</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.08</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.08</oasis:entry>

         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0</oasis:entry>

       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table><table-wrap-foot><p><inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> represents <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> or <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>; <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>a</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>b</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>m</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are constants.</p></table-wrap-foot></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <title>The relationship between gully headcut dimensions and their controlling
factors</title>
      <p>Table 5 lists the goodness-of-fit parameters Eqs. (5–7) of the power-law and
linear regression relations between the change in gully volumetric headcut
erosion (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>), the top width retreat or lateral expansion (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>W</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>), and the linear
headward migration of the headcut (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>). Both the power and linear regression
analyses (Table 5) show that the volumetric gully expansion (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) was strongly
related to top width retreat (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> &lt; 0.01), whereas no significant
relation was found between <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.36). Similar results were
obtained using a power-law relationship (Table 5). Additionally, as shown in
Table 1, the relative change between 2005 and 2013 in net gully area
(350 %) is more than 2-fold the relative change in length (199 %).
This indicates that sideways or lateral gully retreat is a more important
mechanism of soil loss and gully expansion than linear migration of gully
headcuts. Note that the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> value can sometimes be misleading, as
indicated by the other goodness-of-fit parameters assessed. For example, the
<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> power-law relationship for all 13 gullies has an <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.83,
which indicates a good fit between gully volume and linear gully extension.
However, based on NSE and PBIAS (Table 5), the relationship between gully
volumetric expansion predicted by the <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>–<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> equation (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 18.3 L<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>0.91</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) and
the observed volumetric expansion is not in the acceptable range (NSE <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.004,
PBIAS <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>32.4). This indicates that assessing the quality of fits
between gully expansion parameters cannot solely be done based on <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
and that good fits also require other measures like NSE and PBIAS to be in
the acceptable range.</p>
      <p>Both the linear (Eqs. 10 and 11) and power-type (Eqs. 12 and 13) regression
relationships indicated that drainage area predicted the volumetric gully
erosion (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) better than the linear headward migration (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) of the gully
headcut. This suggests that the larger the drainage area, the greater the
lateral expansion is by collapsing gully banks, and hence the greater the
sediment production. Studies in the semiarid Ethiopian Highlands with
relatively shallow soils over bedrock have indicated that drainage area
(which was not significantly related in the Debre Mawi catchment with deep
soils) was a major controlling factor of gully head retreat (Poesen et al.,
2003; Frankl et al., 2012).</p>
      <p>Similar relationships were also developed by Vandekerckhove et al. (2003) for
semiarid southeastern Spain (<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.069 DA<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>0.38</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.51) and
Frankl et al. (2012) for the semiarid Tigray region in northern Ethiopia
(<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.53 DA<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>0.31</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>R</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.27). Note that, in the Debre Mawi
watershed, gully volume expansion is stronger related to drainage area than
in southeastern Spain and the Tigray region, as the power-law exponent is about
4 times greater in the Debre Mawi watershed: the larger the exponent, the
greater the increase in <inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> per unit increase in drainage area (Frankl et al.,
2013b). The ratio of the volumetric expansion relations for Debre Mawi and the
Tigray region is 4.4 DA<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn>0.95</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, which shows a near linear increase in this
ratio with drainage area. For a gully draining 10 ha of land in the Debre
Mawi watershed, the volumetric expansion is on average almost 40 times
greater than that of a gully draining the same area in the semiarid Tigray
region studied by Frankl et al. (2012). The greater retreat rates in Debre
Mawi are caused by the rainfall amounts during the rain phase exceeding
potential evaporation with excess water saturating the valley bottoms (see
Sect. 3.3). In addition, the Vertisol soils are up to 10 m deep overlying
the bedrock. This combined with high groundwater tables indicates the
potential for erosion is greater in the Debre Mawi watershed compared with
the drier semiarid regions of Tigray and southeastern Spain, where soils are
also thinner. These findings are in accordance with Frankl et al. (2013b) in that
the establishment of relationships like Eqs. (12) and (13) is necessarily
region-specific and only representative of similar environmental settings
with respect to climate, topography, lithology, soil, and vegetation.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><caption><p>Examples of gully expansion in the Debre Mawi watershed. Top four
photos: expansion of gullies G8 and G11 during the 2013 rain phase and the
trees which fell into the gullies from upstream. Bottom images: expansion of
gullies G6 and G11 between 2005 and 2013.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/2/443/2016/soil-2-443-2016-f06.jpg"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <title>Viable gully erosion control measures for the subhumid Ethiopian
Highlands</title>
      <p>Gully erosion can rapidly change landscapes as can be seen for instance for
G6, G8, and G11 in Fig. 6. Gully G6 has expanded laterally into cultivated
land through erosion of the right bank (west bank), whereas lateral erosion
of the left bank, located on grassland, was rather limited. This decreased
gully expansion on the grassed bank may be due to the effect of the grasses
either in terms of increasing the topsoil shear strength (De Baets et al.,
2008) or drying out the soil through evapotranspiration (Pollen and Simon,
2005) and thereby reducing soil saturation. Also, grasses could modify
overland flow and infiltration patterns and therefore affect subsurface
drainage. Gully G11 was surrounded by cultivated land on both sides and hence
expanded laterally through erosion of both left (south) and right (north)
banks. In 2012 the land adjacent to the left bank was planted with eucalyptus
trees to halt erosion. In 2013, erosion of this left (south) bank was
significantly reduced, and gully development then occurred through extension
in northeastern direction and lateral expansion in northern direction instead
(see Fig. 6). The lesson learned from these two gullies (G6 and G11) is that
vegetation may reduce gully expansion by increasing soil shear strength
through their roots, slowing down the storm runoff, and trapping sediments,
which was also observed by, among others, Gyssels and Poesen (2003) and De
Baets et al. (2006). Therefore, planting suitable species on the gully face
and around the boundary may reduce or slow down bank failure and
water-induced erosion, especially for fairly deep gullies. In contrast to the
above explanation, although both banks of G8 were surrounded by grasses
(Fig. 6), the gully head migrated uphill by about 25 m in 2 months. The
reasons for this could be that (1) both banks were steep and deep enough for
gravity-induced bank failure and that (2) the surrounding soil was highly
saturated (Table 3) and bank layers near the bottom were more erodible than
the overlying layer, causing a preferential retreat that undercut the bank
and consequent cantilever failures (Fig. S3 in the Supplement).</p>
      <p>Our monitoring data also contained valuable information regarding the
effectiveness of soil and water conservation measures such as soil bunds that
were extensively installed across the upper portion of the catchment since
2012. Dagnew et al. (2015), in the same watershed, reported that soil bunds
reduced runoff by 60 %, sediment concentration by 36 %, and sediment
load by 80 %, which resulted in a significant reduction of runoff volume
and sediment loads in the first 2 years of implementation. However, a
reduction of downslope sediment concentration was not significant due to the
presence of large gullies near the watershed outlet. Further, the SWC
measures (soil bunds), aimed to reduce the development of rills and gullies
in the area, were implemented on saturated Vertisol areas and have rather
led to gully initiation and development (see Fig. 1f; Steenhuis et al., 2014;
Dagnew et al., 2015). These soil and water conservation measures appear to be
ineffective on these locations as they cannot reduce or stop upslope gully
headcut migration, which requires alternative, structural measures.
Similarly, diversion waterways have been tested in the watershed to arrest
gully heads but have produced new gully branches (Zegeye et al., 2014). Our
data therefore support the findings of Dagnew et al. (2015), which indicate
that the extensive implementation of soil and water conservation measures on
periodically saturated Vertisol areas may have exacerbated rather than
mitigated gully formation and expansion.</p>
      <p>In the bottomlands of the watershed with Vertisols dominant, gully formation
was severe due to alternate swelling and shrinking of expanding clays
resulting in deep cracks in the dry season (Fig. 1c). As was previously
observed by Frankl et al. (2012), the shrink–swell behavior of Vertisols
eventually developed into pipes (Fig. 1d) and contributed to gully
development. Though pipes contribute to gully formation, we observed in this
study that they are also important to drain excess subsurface water near the
gully banks, thereby potentially mitigating gully expansion. For example,
soil pipes in the heads of gullies G7 and G13 drained the elevated groundwater table, resulting in only minor headcut retreat (Table 3). This implies
that gully expansion rates could be reduced by controlling the water table
and therefore the pore-water pressures in the gully head (Zegeye et al.,
2016). For example, drop pipes are a common practice in the United States
(Field Office Technical Guide standard 587; NRCS, 2015) to control
groundwater and surface water level to halt erosion of gully heads up to 15 m
in height, but they can be very costly (&gt; USD 50 000 each).
Moreover, most of the Debre Mawi watershed gullies are deep gullies (up to 7 m)
that are therefore susceptible to gravity-induced bank collapse.
Regrading the gully head and bank slopes decreases their weight and reduces
the probability of bank failure (Langendoen et al., 2014; Zegeye et al.,
2016).</p>
      <p>In the semiarid Tigray region of northern Ethiopia, Frankl et al. (2012)
recommended the application of a subsurface geo-membrane (vertical dam) at
the gully head to increase groundwater levels and subsequently decrease soil
cracking and soil piping. However, this may not be effective in the (sub)humid region of the Ethiopian Highlands as we have shown that elevated
groundwater tables increases the rate of gully expansion (Table 4, Fig. 1f).
Therefore, gully mitigation measures in the subhumid Ethiopian Highlands and
similar climate types should aim to reduce soil water content.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Conclusions</title>
      <p>Field observations in the Debre Mawi watershed indicate that permanent
valley-bottom gully drainage networks and in particular gully widening and
headcut retreat are important erosion processes severely impacting the
productive farmlands.</p>
      <p>Gully mapping and monitoring indicated that the continued gully incision,
lateral expansion, and headward extension are governed by the collapse of the
gully head and sidewalls, and the subsequent removal of the failed materials
by flowing water (Figs. 1 and 6). About 5 % of the watershed area has
been impaired by the expanding gully network. The gully expansion rate at the
watershed scale between 2005 and 2013 was 127 t ha<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
(Table 1). The headcut migration of the 13 gullies during the 2013 rain phase
varied significantly from 0.04 to 36 m yr<inline-formula><mml:math display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Table 3 and Fig. 4).</p>
      <p>Understanding the controlling factors of gully head migration and lateral
expansion of gullies is crucial to design appropriate gully control measures.
Retreat rates depended most strongly on groundwater table elevation
(Table 4). The elevated water tables saturate the soils surrounding the
gullies, thereby reducing the soil erosion resistance. An elevated groundwater
table may also lead to seepage-induced erosion. Additionally, the gully head
depth and the drainage area, which is representative of surface runoff
magnitude, were other factors controlling gully erosion in the Debre Mawi
watershed (Table 4). Therefore, conservation practices that address these
parameters may be most effective.</p>
      <p>The lateral retreat for deep gullies contributes the most to the volumetric
gully erosion in the Debre Mawi watershed (Table 5). Therefore, regrading the
gully head and bank slopes could reduce the occurrence of gravity-induced
bank collapse for deep gullies. Studies need to be designed to evaluate the
effects of controlling groundwater movement, for example by subsurface
drainage, on the stability of Vertisols. Vegetation may play a vital role in
reducing soil water and increasing soil shear strength. The planting of an
assemblage of suitable, native plant species (both herbaceous and woody) is
being tested in the watershed.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6">
  <title>Data availability</title>
      <p>The supplemental data (Excel, movie) for this manuscript are available online
from the TIB AV-Portal Data Repository under <ext-link xlink:href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5446/18056" ext-link-type="DOI">10.5446/18056</ext-link>.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><app-group>
        <supplementary-material position="anchor"><p><bold>The Supplement related to this article is available online at <inline-supplementary-material xlink:href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/soil-2-443-2016-supplement" xlink:title="zip">doi:10.5194/soil-2-443-2016-supplement</inline-supplementary-material>.</bold></p></supplementary-material>
        </app-group><notes notes-type="authorcontribution">

      <p>Assefa D. Zegeye,
Eddy J. Langendoen, Tammo S. Steenhuis, and Seifu A. Tilahun designed the
experiments, and Assefa D. Zegeye carried them out. Assefa D. Zegeye,
Eddy J. Langendoen, Fasikaw A. Zimale, and Dessalegn C. Dagnew analyzed and
interpreted the data. Assefa D. Zegeye, Eddy J. Langendoen,
Tammo S. Steenhuis, Cathelijne R. Stoof, Christian D. Guzman, Birru Yitaferu,
and Seifu A. Tilahun supervised the research and cooperated on writing
(editing, commenting, developing, formatting etc.) the manuscript.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p>This research was supported financially by
the Norman E. Borlaug Leadership Enhancement in Agriculture
Program (Borlaug LEAP-016258-82), International Foundation
for Science (IFS-W/5407-1), Cornell University (Hudson H. Lyon
research fund) and the Ithaca Presbyterian Church, and PEER Science Program
of USAID (ID-OAA-A-11-00012).<?xmltex \hack{\\\\}?>Edited by: Estela N. Romero<?xmltex \hack{\\}?> Reviewed
by: A. Frankl and one anonymous referee</p></ack><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>Morphological dynamics of gully systems in the subhumid Ethiopian
Highlands: the Debre Mawi watershed</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p class="p">Gully expansion in the Ethiopian
Highlands dissects vital agricultural lands with the eroded materials
adversely impacting downstream resources, for example as they accumulate in
reservoirs. While gully expansion and rehabilitation have been more
extensively researched in the semiarid region of Ethiopia, few studies have
been conducted in the (sub)humid region. For that reason, we assessed the
severity of gully erosion by measuring the expansion of 13 selected permanent
gullies in the subhumid Debre Mawi watershed, 30 km south of Lake Tana,
Ethiopia. In addition, the rate of expansion of the entire drainage network
in the watershed was determined using 0.5 m resolution aerial imagery from flights in 2005 and 2013. About 0.6 Mt (or 127 t ha<sup>−1</sup> yr<sup>−1</sup>) of
soil was lost during this period due to actively expanding gullies. The net
gully area in the entire watershed increased more than 4-fold from 4.5 ha in
2005 to 20.4 ha in 2013 (&gt; 3 % of the watershed area),
indicating the growing severity of gully erosion and hence land degradation
in the watershed.</p><p class="p">Soil losses were caused by upslope migrating gully heads through a
combination of gully head collapse and removal of the failed material by
runoff. Collapse of gully banks and retreat of headcuts was most severe in
locations where elevated groundwater tables saturated gully heads and banks,
destabilizing the soils by decreasing the shear strength. Elevated
groundwater tables were therefore the most important cause of gully
expansion. Additional factors that strongly relate to bank collapse were the
height of the gully head and the size of the drainage area. Soil physical
properties (e.g., texture and bulk density) only had minor effects.</p><p class="p">Conservation practices that address factors controlling erosion are the most
effective in protecting gully expansion. These consist of lowering water
table and regrading the gully head and sidewalls to reduce the occurrence of
gravity-induced mass failures. Planting suitable vegetation on the regraded
gully slopes will in addition decrease the risk of bank failure by reducing
pore-water pressures and reinforcing the soil. Finally, best management
practices that decrease runoff from the catchment will reduce the amount of
gully-related sediment loss.</p></abstract-html>
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